Title : urvival of patients with rheumatoid arthritis compared with the general outpatient population from 2016 to 2026: A retrospective two-center cohort study
Abstract:
Background: Rheumatoid arthritis (RA) is associated with chronic systemic inflammation and excess mortality. Contemporary Russian data comparing long-term survival in patients with RA with that of the general outpatient population remain limited.
Objective: To compare all-cause mortality and long-term survival in patients with RA and matched outpatient controls during 2016–2026.
Methods: A retrospective two-center cohort study was conducted in the Sverdlovsk Region, Russian Federation. The RA cohort included 206 patients with a confirmed diagnosis established in 2016–2020. The control cohort comprised 20,600 individuals without RA, matched by sex, age, and year of index outpatient visit at a ratio of 1:100. The primary endpoint was all-cause mortality. Survival was analyzed using life tables, Kaplan–Meier curves, the log-rank test, and Cox proportional hazards regression adjusted for sex and age. Crude mortality rates and the standardized mortality ratio were also calculated.
Results: During follow-up, 48 deaths occurred in the RA cohort and 3,009 in the control cohort. The cumulative risk of death was 23.30% in patients with RA and 14.61% in controls (risk ratio 1.595; 95% CI 1.249–2.038; p=0.00025). Crude mortality rates were 31.72 and 18.94 per 1,000 person-years, respectively. Ten-year cumulative survival was 70.63% in the RA group versus 81.66% in controls (log-rank p=0.000254). After adjustment for sex and age, RA remained independently associated with a higher risk of death (hazard ratio 1.80; 95% CI 1.35–2.40; p=0.00005). The standardized mortality ratio was 1.52 (95% CI 1.12–2.01). Diseases of the circulatory system accounted for 54.17% of deaths among patients with RA.
Conclusion: Patients with RA had substantially lower long-term survival and higher all-cause mortality than matched outpatient controls. The findings support intensified cardiovascular risk assessment, long-term follow-up, and integrated management of comorbidities in routine rheumatology care.
Keywords: Rheumatoid Arthritis; Mortality; Survival Analysis; Epidemiology; Cardiovascular Mortality

